6
Packing Angel
6yo Gelding · 9-1
Happy Valley · Shek O Handicap · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA93 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA93 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA86 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 08/03/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |