3
Sagacious Life
5yo Gelding · 9-6
Happy Valley · Shek O Handicap · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA97 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA97 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA90 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sha Tin | BHA90 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Sha Tin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -10.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 62% | -0.27 |
| 04/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/02/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 77% | -0.09 |
| 01/03/2026 | 14th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 22/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 7/4 | 91% | 45% | -0.45 |