7
Silvery Breeze
6yo Gelding · 9-1
Happy Valley · Shek O Handicap · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA92 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA93 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |