Air Charger
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-09-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 30/07/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/08/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 16/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 27/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 12/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |