4
Hunted Prayer
3yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 61
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |