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2

Indy Kid

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 49

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS28/10C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 23 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 23 par13/11C6OR 23C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 51 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 51 par11/05C6OR 51C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 28 · 1m70y Fas 120 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 28 par6/06C9OR 28C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 35 · 1m70y Fas 120 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 35 par24/06C9OR 35C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 41 · 1m 120 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 41 par28/07C9OR 41C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 42 · 1m70y Fas 120 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 42 par6/08C9OR 42projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th−1
2026-06-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th6th−1
2026-06-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th8th−1
2026-05-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th8th+2
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th8th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/106/066/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/202512th25/10%0%0.00
13/11/202510th40/10%0%0.00
11/05/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
06/06/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
24/06/20265th10/147%20%-0.27
28/07/20263rd14/126%67%+0.40
06/08/20261st13/266%100%+0.34