4
Instilled Zip
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 72
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -15.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |