5
Wosie's Promise
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 64
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -49.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |