5
Blazing Freedom
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 64
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-08-11 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |