IvyArcIvyArc
3

I'm Game

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 89

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 13/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f 11813/06C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Gd 121 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 77 par28/07C6OR 77C5 @ Ellis Park 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 82 par21/08C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Ellis Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-06-13Churchill Downs?8th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0628/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +37.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20268th14/126%36%+0.10
28/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
21/08/20262nd25/10%86%+0.86