8
Angel's Legacy
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 56
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-08-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 08/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |