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6

Boss Justice

3yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 62

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 37 · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2025 · OR 37 par4/07C6OR 37C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 39 · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2025 · OR 39 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 47 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 47 par8/04C6OR 47C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 50 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 50 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 54 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 54 par6/06C9OR 54C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 54 · 6f Gd 117 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 54 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 57 · 6f 120 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 57 par10/07C8OR 57C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 58 · 1m110y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 58 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 115 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 62 par27/08C8OR 62projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th6th+3
2026-07-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-06-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-06-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th5th−1
2026-05-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/071/0510/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength28%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20255th4/179%43%-0.36
29/07/20255th10/147%50%+0.03
08/04/20265th8/158%60%+0.02
01/05/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
06/06/20264th3/184%40%-0.44
18/06/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
10/07/20266th11/271%17%-0.54
11/08/20269th33/10%0%0.00
27/08/20264th10/147%50%+0.03