9
Goingscents
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 56
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 21/10/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |