1

Gray V.
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |