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2

Unbridled Valor

3yo Gelding · 8-5 · OR 62

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 41 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 41 par8/04C6OR 41C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 45 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 45 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 44 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 44 par11/05C6OR 44C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 50 · 5f110y Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 50 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 57 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 57 par15/06C6OR 57C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 57 · 1m Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 57 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 51 · 6f 120 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 51 par27/07C9OR 51C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 52 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 52 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 54 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 54 par26/08C6OR 54projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st-1th+2
2026-08-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd0th+2
2026-07-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th−1
2026-06-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?11th9th+2
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th2nd+2
2026-05-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0425/0527/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength85%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20268th10/147%30%-0.17
22/04/20269th33/10%20%+0.20
11/05/20262nd33/10%88%+0.88
25/05/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
15/06/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
30/06/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
27/07/20263rd11/271%80%+0.09
06/08/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05
26/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11