7

Ranch Life

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Turfway Park 29/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 69 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark29/03/2025 · OR 69 par29/03C9OR 69C9 @ Keeneland 09/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 69 · 1m110y Fas 118 · below its mark09/04/2025 · OR 69 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 65 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark08/05/2025 · OR 65 par8/05C9OR 65C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 63 · 7f110y 120 · beat its mark21/05/2025 · OR 63 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 13/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 73 · 7f Slo 120 · below its mark13/06/2025 · OR 73 par13/06C8OR 73C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m Fas 118 · below its mark26/06/2025 · OR 73 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 1m70y 119 · below its mark04/11/2025 · OR 70 par4/11C8OR 70C8 @ Turfway Park 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 65 · 6f110y 120 · below its mark25/03/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Ellis Park 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 72 · 1m 123 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 72 par24/07C8OR 72projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Ellis Park?5th6th1
2026-03-25Turfway Park?5th6th1
2025-11-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th7th1
2025-06-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th7th1
2025-06-13Churchill Downs?7th8th1
2025-05-21Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st3rd2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0321/054/1124/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength3%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20258th25/10%30%+0.30
09/04/20256th25/10%17%+0.17
08/05/20253rd9/488%60%-0.28
21/05/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
13/06/20257th20/10%0%0.00
26/06/20256th10/147%17%-0.31
04/11/20256th25/10%17%+0.17
25/03/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
24/07/20265th15/261%33%-0.27