7

Ranch Life
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-06-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-06-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength3%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 09/04/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 21/05/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 13/06/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 04/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |