4

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4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 08/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |