6
Ziggzappa
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-10 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 19/03/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 08/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 10/12/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |