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5

Mikestrumpcard

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 54

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Oaklawn Park 14/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 42 · 6f 121 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 42 par14/02C9OR 42C9 @ Oaklawn Park 05/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 47 · 6f 122 · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 47 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 56 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 56 par8/04C6OR 56C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 57 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 57 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 60 · 1m Slo 120 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 60 par25/05C6OR 60C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 61 · 6f 120 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 61 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 52 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 52 par4/07C6OR 52C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 50 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 50 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 51 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 51 par26/08C6OR 51projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-08-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-07-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-05-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2026-04-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0222/044/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -4.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
05/03/20269th40/10%20%+0.20
08/04/20265th14/126%60%+0.34
22/04/20262nd12/137%90%+0.53
25/05/20268th9/153%22%-0.30
15/06/20265th10/147%50%+0.03
04/07/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
06/08/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
26/08/20263rd9/153%67%+0.14