3
Adios Ashwood
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-08-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 14/02/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 22/03/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 24/04/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 07/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/06/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |