2
Henry The Hank
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-05-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 14th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/12/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |