6

Fonzarelli

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 29

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 23/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m Fas 11923/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Ellis Park?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength39%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/202611th4/179%9%-0.70