4

Modern Legacy

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 68

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

93%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 11925/07C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 70 · 1m Gd 120 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 70 par25/08C6OR 70projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-25Ellis Park?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +71.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20265th9/488%33%-0.55
25/08/20262nd5/174%90%+0.16