Blue Collar Cowboy

2yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 68

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Maiden · 1f 80y

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

79%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength21%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.1

Today:

Class gap: +0.9

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-02	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	10th	10th	0	1.0
2026-08-20	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-07-30	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	9th	5th	+4	5.2
2026-06-22	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -31.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
22/06/2026	2nd	7/1	63%	83%	+0.20
30/07/2026	9th	8/1	58%	11%	-0.47
20/08/2026	4th	10/3	82%	63%	-0.20
02/09/2026	10th	6/4	92%	0%	-0.92