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Scots Poet

10yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 99

Kelso · RacingTV Proudly Supports Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 25y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

73%

Place Prob

57%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Enjoying a fine time of things in 2026, winning on 3 of his previous 6 completed starts and finishing runner-up at Cartmel in July. Perhaps made effort earlier than ideal when fifth of 6 at Sedgefield (17f, firm) 19 days ago but longer trip might stretch him and is now high enough in the weights.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength62%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Catterick 21/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 89 · 1m7f156y Sft 161 · beat its mark21/01/2026 · OR 89 par21/015OR 895 @ Musselburgh 15/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 88 · 1m7f124y Goo 156 · beat its mark15/02/2026 · OR 88 par5 @ Carlisle 22/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 86 · 2m1f Goo 154 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 86 par22/035OR 865 @ Sedgefield 10/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 86 · 2m178y Gd 154 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 86 par5 @ Hexham 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 90 · 2m48y Sft 159 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 90 par9/055OR 904 @ Kelso 24/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 89 · 2m51y Gd 147 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 89 par4 @ Perth 07/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 94 · 2m47y Gd 152 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 94 par7/064OR 945 @ Cartmel 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 99 · 2m1f46y Gd 168 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 99 par4 @ Sedgefield 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 100 · 2m178y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 100 par28/084OR 100projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Sedgefield45th4th+1
2026-07-20Cartmel52nd2nd0
2026-07-12Perth50
2026-06-07Perth41st0th+1
2026-05-24Kelso41st0th+1
2026-05-09Hexham52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0110/047/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -5.4% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20263rd9/153%83%+0.31
15/02/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01
22/03/20263rd9/276%80%+0.04
10/04/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
09/05/20262nd11/486%88%+0.02
24/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
07/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
20/07/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
28/08/20265th4/179%20%-0.59