5

Wispit Twob

4yo Filly · 11-1 · OR 88

Kelso · RacingTV Proudly Supports Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f 25y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up in academy hurdle on second start in Ireland last November. Made a discouraging start in handicaps for current yard last spring, though, and pulled up on return from 5-month break 12 days ago. Now visored.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength18%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cork 23/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m1f75y Yie 14723/11C?3 @ Sandown 31/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m7f216y Hvy 142 · HIGHER CLASS31/0135 @ Exeter 06/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 100 · 2m2f111y GS 158 · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 100 par6/035OR 100projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Worcester50
2026-04-01Wincanton4+1
2026-03-06Exeter511th11th0
2026-01-31Sandown36th4th+2
2025-11-23Cork?2nd2nd0
2025-11-13Punchestown?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1131/016/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -79.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20252nd100/10%91%+0.91
31/01/20266th22/10%0%0.00
06/03/202611th6/168%0%-0.68