1
Handmedownastar
6yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 114
Kelso · Borders Carers Centre Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 4f 189y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Cartmel | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Fontwell | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Newton Abbot | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Fontwell | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 350% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -22.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 3. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 43% | -0.49 |