Moonlightinthepark
5yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 87
Kelso · Weatherbys Racing Bank Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 5f 133y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Bangor-on-Dee | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Ludlow | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-03-08 | Carlisle | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Ludlow | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Haydock | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-12-17 | Ludlow | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 17/12/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 30/12/2025 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/02/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |