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3

Garde Des Champs

10yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 103

Kelso · In Memory Of Rossie Maitland-Carew Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 1f 14y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Unreliable sort who failed to arrest the slide back hurdling for the first time in over 2 years last month. Likely faces another struggle, though much lower in the weights than when 3rd in 2024 (9 lb) and 4th in 2025 (14 lb) renewals of this race.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Perth 08/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 117 · 2m4f20y Gd 154 · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 117 par8/093OR 1173 @ Kelso 17/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 117 · 2m1f14y Gd 153 · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 117 par3 @ Kelso 25/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 115 · 2m1f14y Goo 148 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 115 par25/103OR 1154 @ Kelso 20/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 113 · 2m5f133y Goo 161 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 113 par4 @ Perth 13/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 111 · 2m GS 159 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 111 par13/054OR 1113 @ Perth 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 109 · 2m Gd 146 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 109 par4 @ Perth 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 106 · 2m4f20y Gd 164 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 106 par2/074OR 1064 @ Perth 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 105 · 2m Gd 161 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 105 par4 @ Perth 15/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 104 · 2m4f35y Gd 160 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 104 par15/084OR 104projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Perth48th9th−1
2026-07-12Perth42nd3rd−1
2026-07-02Perth43rd4th−1
2026-06-07Perth33rd3rd0
2026-05-13Perth44th5th−1
2026-04-20Kelso48th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0920/042/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength49%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 3.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/20253rd9/276%60%-0.16
17/09/20254th15/261%40%-0.21
25/10/20254th7/163%25%-0.38
20/04/20268th28/10%0%0.00
13/05/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
07/06/20263rd17/255%50%-0.05
02/07/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28
12/07/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
15/08/20268th9/153%13%-0.40