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Cape Warrior

4yo Gelding · 11-0

Kelso · Join Racing TV For Free Now Open NH Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race) · 2m 51y

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Flat-bred gelding coped well with the test of speed when second of 5 in a Wetherby bumper on debut in March, albeit grossly flattered by his proximity to the winner. Showed similar form when filling same spot over C&D the following month and merits respect, especially with Sean Bowen booked.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wetherby 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m Gd 14627/0354 @ Kelso 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 2m51y Goo 14920/044projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-20Kelso42nd2nd0
2026-03-27Wetherby52nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0320/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20262nd15/261%75%+0.14
20/04/20262nd7/163%80%+0.17