Sufferin Succotash
8yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 57
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 43% | -0.50 |