5
Black Bety
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 61
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |