2
Datttsafancyfox
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 75
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |