Snatched
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 70
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-02-22 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-22 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 25/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 22/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |