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Crafty Lawyer

3yo Filly · 8-8

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Finger Lakes 25/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f110y 11925/05C9C9 @ Mountaineer 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f Fm 11916/06C9C9 @ Mountaineer 19/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 1m70y Fas 12019/07C9C9 @ Mountaineer 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m 12026/07C9projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Mountaineer?2nd5th−3
2026-07-19Mountaineer?4th7th−3
2026-06-16Mountaineer?3rd6th−3
2026-05-25Finger Lakes?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0516/0619/0726/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength62%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
16/06/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01
19/07/20264th11/893%0%-0.93
26/07/20262nd7/163%83%+0.20