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6

Hayami

3yo Filly · 8-8

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

66%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mahoning Valley 17/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f110y Gd 11817/03C6C9 @ Mountaineer 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f110y Fm 12013/07C9C6 @ Mountaineer 09/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m70y Gd 1209/08C6C9 @ Mountaineer 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f Fm 1202/09C9projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Mountaineer?4th7th−3
2026-08-09Mountaineer?2nd2nd0
2026-07-13Mountaineer?3rd6th−3
2026-03-17Mahoning Valley?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0313/079/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +15.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/03/20266th15/261%0%-0.61
13/07/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30
09/08/20262nd12/137%80%+0.43
02/09/20264th11/271%57%-0.14