10
Harry Brown
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 55
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Marble Handicap · 5f 10y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 6 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Brighton | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Newbury | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 30/04/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 11% | -0.52 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 29/06/2026 | 13th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |