Just Dreaming
3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 56
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Marble Handicap · 5f 10y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Windsor | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-09 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 100/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |