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7yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 70
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Marble Handicap · 5f 10y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Chepstow | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Chepstow | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Beverley | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |