4

Zoustar Dreams
3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 68
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Marble Handicap · 5f 10y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Yarmouth | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Nottingham | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Newmarket | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 19/05/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |