4

Zoustar Dreams

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 68

Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Marble Handicap · 5f 10y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Registered a third success of 2026 at Nottingham (5f) in July but seemed anchored by revised mark in trio of starts since on turf/all-weather. Given some reprieve by the assessor ahead of this and return to 5f can help.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Yarmouth 28/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 63 · 5f42y Gd 134 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 63 par28/046OR 636 @ Newcastle 19/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 60 · 5f Std 131 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Catterick 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 57 · 5f212y GF 135 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 57 par30/056OR 576 @ Lingfield 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 63 · 4f217y Sft 138 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Newmarket 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 66 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 66 par20/065OR 665 @ Nottingham 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 66 · 5f8y Goo 132 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Ripon 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 71 · 5f Goo 132 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 71 par3/085OR 715 @ Yarmouth 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 71 · 5f42y GF 134 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f Sta 138 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 70 par2/095OR 70projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton56th6th0
2026-08-14Yarmouth54th4th0
2026-08-03Ripon54th4th0
2026-07-18Nottingham51st1st0
2026-06-20Newmarket54th4th0
2026-06-06Lingfield61st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/046/063/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength34%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/04/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
19/05/20267th13/266%45%-0.20
30/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
06/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
20/06/20264th11/142%63%+0.20
18/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
03/08/20264th10/382%25%-0.57
14/08/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
02/09/20266th5/174%17%-0.57