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Charlemont Gg

2yo Colt · 9-11

Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twice-raced winner. Left debut behind when winning 10-runner maiden at Kempton (7f) 14 days ago. Open to further improvement but has to give weight to some promising sorts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f36y Std 13314/0733 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f Sta 1332/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton31st1st0
2026-07-14Wolverhampton310th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +39.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/202610th20/10%18%+0.18
02/09/20261st11/142%100%+0.58