IvyArcIvyArc
6

Imperial Nation

2yo Colt · 9-4

Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

11/2, showed promise when third of 6 in novice at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) on debut in May. It's taken a bit of time to get him back to the track but he's another in this field who should have more to offer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f Gd 13315/054
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-15Newmarket43rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20263rd11/271%60%-0.11