8

United Authority

2yo Colt · 9-7

Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

700,000 gns Dubawi colt from the family of very smart 2-y-o 1m winner (stayed 1¼m) Kingsbarns. Has shown a bit in 7f maiden here and novice at Leicester. Probably won't be up to winning this, however.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Sandown 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f Goo 13323/0733 @ Leicester 08/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f GS 1288/093projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Leicester35th5th0
2026-07-23Sandown35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20265th9/488%50%-0.38
08/09/20265th5/287%50%-0.37