2

Blue Rc
4yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 103
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Fortune Stakes (Listed) · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Ascot | 2 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 2 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 2 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thirsk | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Newcastle | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 43% | -0.12 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 96% | +0.96 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 10/3 | 82% | 10% | -0.72 |
| 04/09/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |