2

Blue Rc

4yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 103

Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Fortune Stakes (Listed) · 1m

#10

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Added to his tally in 1m Southwell handicap in January. Really smart handicap performance when second of 28 in Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot but needs to shrug off a pair of disappointing efforts back there since. Wears first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Kempton 22/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 92 · 1m Sta 134 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 92 par22/103OR 922 @ Chelmsford City 11/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 93 · 1m Std 125 · beat its mark11/12/2025 · OR 93 par2 @ Southwell 01/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 94 · 1m13y Std 127 · beat its mark01/01/2026 · OR 94 par1/012OR 942 @ Newcastle 03/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 99 · 1m5y Std 128 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 99 par2 @ Thirsk 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 99 · 7f218y Goo 134 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 99 par2/052OR 992 @ Newbury 16/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 101 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 101 par2 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 28 · OR 100 · 1m GF 128 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 100 par17/062OR 1002 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 104 · 1m GF 138 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 104 par2 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 104 · 1m Goo 140 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 104 par4/092OR 104projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Ascot210th11th1
2026-07-25Ascot210th11th1
2026-06-17Royal Ascot22nd3rd1
2026-05-16Newbury29th10th1
2026-05-02Thirsk22nd3rd1
2026-04-03Newcastle22nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/103/0417/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength14%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20252nd3/184%90%+0.06
11/12/20252nd5/493%83%-0.10
01/01/20261st4/797%100%+0.03
03/04/20262nd9/276%92%+0.16
02/05/20262nd5/287%92%+0.05
16/05/20269th17/255%43%-0.12
17/06/20262nd28/10%96%+0.96
25/07/202610th10/382%10%-0.72
04/09/202610th14/126%25%-0.01