3
Centigrade
4yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 102
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Fortune Stakes (Listed) · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2024-10-25 | Newbury | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2024-08-30 | Sandown | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 25/10/2024 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 62% | -0.25 |