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9

Cerro Blanco

3yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 104

Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Fortune Stakes (Listed) · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

72%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Wootton Bassett colt who has shown significant promise in a trio of 7f outings at Newmarket, finishing second in listed company in between maiden/novice wins. Should be more to come from him now moving up to 1m.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 1.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 14/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f Gd 12814/0441 @ Newmarket 01/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 7f GF 1311/0514 @ Newmarket 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 104 · 7f GF 137 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 104 par6/084OR 104projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Newmarket41st5th−3
2026-05-01Newmarket12nd2nd0
2026-04-14Newmarket41st5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/041/056/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength87%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/04/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
01/05/20262nd2/189%80%-0.09
06/08/20261st1/25100%100%+0.00