Skukuza
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 107
Sandown · Trainor Stone & Tile Fortune Stakes (Listed) · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 24th | 25th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Newmarket | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2025-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Leopardstown | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 01/08/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 17/06/2026 | 24th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |