6
Oh Yes You Do
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 77
Sandown · Inkerman Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Salisbury | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Windsor | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Doncaster | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-07 | Leicester | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |