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10

Siddal

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 72

Sandown · Inkerman Fillies' Handicap · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left previous efforts well behind when second of 13 in novice (400/1) at Salisbury (7f, heavy) in June. Has the potential for better again now handicapping after a break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 24/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f110y Sft 12824/1044 @ Kempton 27/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f Sta 12427/0544 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 6f213y Sft 1259/064projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-09Salisbury42nd2nd0
2026-05-27Kempton410th10th0
2025-10-24Newbury45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1027/059/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +37.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20255th16/116%33%+0.18
27/05/202610th80/10%0%0.00
09/06/20262nd400/10%92%+0.92