2
Withtearsinmyeyes
3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 80
Sandown · Inkerman Fillies' Handicap · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Ffos Las | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Windsor | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Nottingham | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -10.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 88% | -0.08 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |